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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Nantes — Paris FC

Predictions by Market: Nantes vs Paris FC

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nantes
Nantes
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W L W L W Away · last 5
Stade de la Beaujoire · Nantes Referee Benoît Millot, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAN
23%
Best 2.66
Draw
28%
Best 3.20
Away Win · PAR
49%
Best 2.79
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.56
Fair odds
3.15
book 3.56 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 23.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 23.1%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
NAN – PAR @ 3.56
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →