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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Stade Brestois 29

Predictions by Market: Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D L L L D Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Lyon Referee Romain Lissorgue, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LYO
59%
Best 1.65
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BRE
19%
Best 5.20
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.50
Fair odds
5.39
book 5.50 · +2.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +2.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (59%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 13.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LYO – BRE @ 5.50
+2.1%
Edge
Forecast →