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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Le Havre — Angers

Le Havre vs Angers 2:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Havre
Le Havre
Home · last 5 D D D L W
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 16:15
2:1
Full-time
Angers
Angers
D L L D D Away · last 5
Stade Océane · Le Havre Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 60% · book 1.90 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.74 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.87 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.05 – 0.57
Δ +0.48
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.90 — +14.8% better than the market.

Le Havre hosts Angers in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Angers' stronger overall profile and recent winning form contrast with Le Havre's struggles, suggesting the away side may control the game. However, Le Havre's home defensive solidity and a mild home edge could keep things tight.

  • Angers' pressing and efficiency likely to challenge Le Havre's compact block
  • Le Havre's home momentum may limit scoring chances
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a tactical, cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.90 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

HAV 4-3-1-2 · ANG 4-2-3-1
HAV · 4-3-1-2 4-2-3-1 · ANG 50 Argney 7 Négo 15 Seko 4 Lloris 18 Zouaoui 14 Ndiaye 26 Ebonog 8 Kechta 10 Mambimbi 45 Soumaré 35 Quetant ⚽ 16 Zinga 2 Arcus 25 Bamba 21 Lefort 26 Hanin 93 Belkebla 5 Courcoul 14 Belkhdim 6 Mouton ⚽ 7 Sbai 11 Cherif
Subs used · HAV
57' N. Mosengo ↑ · Ebonog ↓
66' K. Vinette ↑ · Kechta ↓
66' Obougou ↑ · Mambimbi ↓
83' Kyeremeh ↑ · Quetant ↓
Subs used · ANG
58' Ekomie ↑ · Hanin ↓
58' Raolisoa ↑ · Sbai ↓
76' Peter ↑ · Mouton ↓
90' Machine ↑ · Courcoul ↓

Statistics

HAV 2 – 1 ANG
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.57
11
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
8
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 2 – 1
K. Quetant
Assist · R. Ndiaye · 1–0
⚽
21'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Felix Mambimbi
Yellow Card
▮
47'
50'
▮
Carlens Arcus
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
L. Mouton
Assist · C. Arcus · 1–1
D. N. Mosengo ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
58'
⇄
J. Ekomie ↓ · F. Hanin ↑
Substitution 1
58'
⇄
L. Raolisoa ↓ · A. Sbai ↑
Substitution 2
E. K. Vinette ↓ · Y. Kechta ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
N. Obougou ↓ · F. Mambimbi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
66'
76'
⇄
P. Peter ↓ · L. Mouton ↑
Substitution 3
N. Obougou
Assist · R. Ndiaye · 2–1
⚽
81'
G. Kyeremeh ↓ · K. Quetant ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
90'
⇄
L. Machine ↓ · M. Courcoul ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Le Havre beat Angers 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the scoresheet: K. Quetant (21'), L. Mouton (55'), N. Obougou (81').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.01 units (Brier 0.182).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.90 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.74 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.27 — 41% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.80 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.98 — 46% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Home Win 2.16 — 40% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Away Win 4.20 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.09 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.31 — 67% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.26 — 79% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 — 40% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.20 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.01u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
HAV – ANG @ 1.90
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →