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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — West Ham

Tottenham vs West Ham 1:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
West Ham
West Ham
W L L L W Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.17 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.77 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.15 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.58 – 2.69
Δ −1.11
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.77 — +10.2% better than the market.

Tottenham holds a clear quality edge and home momentum at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Their defensive solidity contrasts with West Ham's struggles, while Tottenham's attack faces a less resilient away defense. Recent form slightly favors Tottenham, suggesting a controlled pace and a compact block to limit West Ham's chances.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Better recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate pace expected with focus on structure

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.77 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · WES 4-4-1-1
Subs used · TOT
19' Spence ↑ · Davies ↓
46' Bissouma ↑ · Gray ↓
62' Solanke ↑ · Tel ↓
90' Bergvall ↑ · Odobert ↓
Subs used · WES
79' Rodriguez ↑ · Pablo ↓
90+6' Kilman ↑ · Fernandes ↓
90+1' Wilson ↑ · Castellanos ↓

Statistics

TOT 1 – 2 WES
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.58
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.69
21
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
4
11
Shots off Target
6
15
Shots Inside Box
17
11
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
17
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
5
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
1'
▮
Valentín Castellanos
Yellow Card
15'
⚽
C. Summerville
Assist · M. Fernandes · 0–1
Ben Davies
Yellow Card
▮
19'
D. Spence ↓ · B. Davies ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
19'
Archie Gray
Yellow Card
▮
39'
Cristian Romero
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Y. Bissouma ↓ · A. Gray ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
52'
▮
Jarrod Bowen
Yellow Card
Micky van de Ven
Yellow Card
▮
57'
D. Solanke ↓ · M. Tel ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
C. Romero
Assist · P. Porro · 1–1
⚽
64'
72'
▮
Tomáš Souček
Yellow Card
Djed Spence
Yellow Card
▮
78'
79'
⇄
G. Rodriguez ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 1
L. Bergvall ↓ · W. Odobert ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
90'
⚽
C. Wilson
1–2
90+1'
⇄
C. Wilson ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑
Substitution 3
90+6'
⇄
M. Kilman ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 2
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

West Ham won 2–1 away at Tottenham. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.69 to 1.58. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 17, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Summerville (15'), C. Romero (64'), C. Wilson (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.01 units (Brier 0.289).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.17 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.77 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.21 — 38% Cashed +1.21 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 — 46% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.81 — 45% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 76% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 — 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.32 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.92 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 90% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.10 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 — 69% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Away Win 4.92 — 15% Cashed +3.92 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.56 — 15% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.01u +6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
TOT – WES @ 1.77
+10.2%
Edge
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