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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Tottenham — West Ham

Match Tottenham vs West Ham January 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
West Ham
West Ham
W L L L W Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.17
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.77
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.15
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.58 – 2.69
Δ −1.11
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Tottenham holds a clear quality edge and home momentum at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Their defensive solidity contrasts with West Ham's struggles, while Tottenham's attack faces a less resilient away defense. Recent form slightly favors Tottenham, suggesting a controlled pace and a compact block to limit West Ham's chances.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Better recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate pace expected with focus on structure

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · WES 4-4-1-1
Subs used · TOT
19' Spence ↑ · Davies
46' Bissouma ↑ · Gray
62' Solanke ↑ · Tel
90' Bergvall ↑ · Odobert
Subs used · WES
79' Rodriguez ↑ · Pablo
90+6' Kilman ↑ · Fernandes
90+1' Wilson ↑ · Castellanos

📊 Statistics

TOT 12 WES
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.58
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.69
21
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
4
11
Shots off Target
6
15
Shots Inside Box
17
11
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
17
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
5
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
1'
Valentín Castellanos
Yellow Card
15'
C. Summerville
Assist · M. Fernandes · 0–1
Ben Davies
Yellow Card
19'
D. Spence ↓ · B. Davies ↑
Substitution 1
19'
Archie Gray
Yellow Card
39'
Cristian Romero
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Y. Bissouma ↓ · A. Gray ↑
Substitution 2
46'
52'
Jarrod Bowen
Yellow Card
Micky van de Ven
Yellow Card
57'
D. Solanke ↓ · M. Tel ↑
Substitution 3
62'
C. Romero
Assist · P. Porro · 1–1
64'
72'
Tomáš Souček
Yellow Card
Djed Spence
Yellow Card
78'
79'
G. Rodriguez ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 1
L. Bergvall ↓ · W. Odobert ↑
Substitution 4
90'
90'
C. Wilson
1–2
90+1'
C. Wilson ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑
Substitution 3
90+6'
M. Kilman ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 2
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

West Ham won 2–1 away at Tottenham. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.69 to 1.58. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 17, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Summerville (15'), C. Romero (64'), C. Wilson (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.01 units (Brier 0.289).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.17 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.77 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.21 38% Cashed +1.21 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 46% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.81 45% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 76% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.32 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.92 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 90% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 69% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Away Win 4.92 15% Cashed +3.92 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.56 15% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.01u +6% ROI