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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Metz — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions by Market: Metz vs Paris Saint Germain

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 18:00
2:3
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Romain Lissorgue, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MET
6%
Best 9.50
Draw
16%
Best 6.40
Away Win · PSG
78%
Best 1.26
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.43
book 7.00 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +8.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (78%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.6%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 6.4%
Odds 11.60
Show model details
Implied probability 8.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 6.4%
Odds 6.20
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.29
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
MET – PSG @ 7.00
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →