Marseille vs Monaco 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.92 — +13.3% better than the market.

Marseille arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a notable edge in defensive solidity. Their attacking prowess is well-matched against Monaco's defense, suggesting they can control the game's rhythm at Orange Vélodrome. Monaco's recent form shows resilience but lacks consistency, making it tough to contain Marseille's pressing and set-piece threat.

Home advantage with a compact defensive block
Superior attacking vs. away defensive matchup
Recent form favors Marseille's confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · MON 4-2-3-1

MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MON

97 Aubameyang

Subs used · MAR

46'

O'Riley ↑ ·

Kondogbia ↓

58'

Paixao ↑ ·

Pavard ↓

58'

Balerdi ↑ ·

Murillo ↓

81'

Nadir ↑ ·

Vermeeren ↓

86'

Bakola ↑ ·

Aubameyang ↓

Subs used · MON

73'

Teze ↑ ·

Golovin ↓

86'

Biereth ↑ ·

Minamino ↓

86'

Ilenikhena ↑ ·

Camara ↓

Statistics

MAR 1 – 0 MON

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

12 · 1 – 0

Geoffrey Kondogbia

Yellow Card

▮

40'

Half-time · 0 – 0

M. O'Riley ↓ · G. Kondogbia ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

I. Paixao ↓ · B. Pavard ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

L. Balerdi ↓ · M. Murillo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

64'

▮

Vanderson

Yellow Card

73'

⇄

J. Teze ↓ · A. Golovin ↑

Substitution 1

B. Nadir ↓ · A. Vermeeren ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

M. Greenwood

Assist · P. Hojbjerg · 1–0

⚽

82'

Mason Greenwood

Yellow Card

▮

83'

D. Bakola ↓ · P. Aubameyang ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

⇄

M. Biereth ↓ · T. Minamino ↑

Substitution 2

86'

⇄

G. Ilenikhena ↓ · L. Camara ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Marseille beat Monaco 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Greenwood (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.82 units (Brier 0.263).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.92	—	59%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.28	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.73	—	33%	Cashed	+1.73	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.73	—	51%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.65	—	31%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.52	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.46	—	59%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	82%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.48	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.10	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.90	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	13%	Cashed	+5.00	Cashed
Away Win	4.04	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.82u	+11% ROI

Marseille vs Monaco 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled