Angers vs Nantes 4:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.73 — +13.2% better than the market.

Angers arrives with clear home momentum, showing stronger recent form and a slight edge in defensive solidity. Their home setup tends to stifle opponents, while Nantes struggles on the road with a fragile defense. The attacking battle looks balanced, but Angers' compact block and better form suggest they can control the pace and limit chances.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking attempts
Recent form favors Angers' confidence
Moderate tempo expected with fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.73 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ANG 4-2-3-1 · NAN 4-4-2

ANG · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · NAN

11 Cherif ⚽

Subs used · ANG

73'

Peter ↑ ·

Cherif ↓

82'

Raolisoa ↑ ·

Belkhdim ↓

82'

Courcoul ↑ ·

Mouton ↓

82'

Djibirin ↑ ·

Sbai ↓

90+1'

Hanin ↑ ·

Abdelli ↓

Subs used · NAN

64'

Lahdo ↑ ·

Benhattab ↓

64'

El Arabi ↑ ·

Mohamed ↓

82'

Camara ↑ ·

Machado ↓

82'

Deuff ↑ ·

Lepenant ↓

Statistics

ANG 4 – 1 NAN

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.31

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 4 – 1

H. Abdelli (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

17'

24'

▮

Matthis Abline

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

S. Cherif

Assist · L. Mouton · 2–0

⚽

60'

64'

⇄

M. Lahdo ↓ · Y. Benhattab ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

Y. El Arabi ↓ · Mostafa Mohamed ↑

Substitution 2

69'

▮

Chidozie Awaziem

Yellow Card

P. Peter ↓ · S. Cherif ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

Himad Abdelli

Yellow Card

▮

79'

81'

⚽

F. Centonze

Assist · M. Lahdo · 2–1

L. Raolisoa ↓ · Y. Belkhdim ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

82'

M. Courcoul ↓ · L. Mouton ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

H. Djibirin ↓ · A. Sbai ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

⇄

A. Camara ↓ · D. Machado ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

B. Deuff ↓ · J. Lepenant ↑

Substitution 4

H. Djibirin

3–1

⚽

85'

L. Raolisoa

4–1

⚽

90'

F. Hanin ↓ · H. Abdelli ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

Angers beat Nantes 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.42 to 0.31. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 7, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.42 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Abdelli (17'), S. Cherif (60'), F. Centonze (81'), H. Djibirin (85'), L. Raolisoa (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.88 units (Brier 0.245).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.73	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.88	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.25	—	53%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.79	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.97	—	41%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.30	—	35%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.74	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.10	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	61%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	53%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	86%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.90	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	17%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.88u	−5% ROI

Angers vs Nantes 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled