Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Monaco December 5, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.66 — +9.5% better than the market.

Monaco arrives with a clear quality edge and a sharper attack, likely to test Brest's defense repeatedly at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Brest's home momentum and slightly better recent form offer some resistance, but Monaco's pressing and offensive efficiency suggest they could control the pace and create key chances.

Monaco's offensive threat vs Brest's defense
Brest's home form and resilience
Moderate pace expected with goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.66 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · MON 4-2-3-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MON

19 Ajorque

Subs used · BRE

32'

Balde ↑ ·

Labeau Lascary ↓

69'

Mboup ↑ ·

Doumbia ↓

83'

Tousart ↑ ·

Chotard ↓

83'

Dina Ebimbe ↑ ·

Del Castillo ↓

Subs used · MON

69'

Idumbo ↑ ·

Golovin ↓

69'

Pogba ↑ ·

Coulibaly ↓

77'

Brunner ↑ ·

Minamino ↓

77'

Michal ↑ ·

Camara ↓

83'

Diatta ↑ ·

Vanderson ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 1 – 0 MON

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.07

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 0

10'

▮

Takumi Minamino

Yellow Card

27'

▮

Caio Henrique

Yellow Card

K. Doumbia

1–0

⚽

28'

M. Balde ↓ · R. Labeau Lascary ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

32'

Kamory Doumbia

Yellow Card

▮

44'

Half-time · 1 – 0

52'

▮

Vanderson

Yellow Card

Ludovic Ajorque

Red Card

▮

60'

P. Mboup ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

⇄

S. Idumbo ↓ · A. Golovin ↑

Substitution 1

69'

⇄

P. Pogba ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

P. Brunner ↓ · T. Minamino ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

L. Michal ↓ · L. Camara ↑

Substitution 4

Pathé Mboup

Yellow Card

▮

78'

L. Tousart ↓ · J. Chotard ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

83'

J. Dina Ebimbe ↓ · R. Del Castillo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

⇄

K. Diatta ↓ · Vanderson ↑

Substitution 5

90+4'

▮

Jordan Teze

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Stade Brestois 29 beat Monaco 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.07 to 0.46. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Doumbia (28'). Ludovic Ajorque was sent off in the 60' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.13 units (Brier 0.366).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.66	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.30	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.55	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.60	—	34%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.67	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.43	—	34%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.70	—	48%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.33	—	24%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.41	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.56	—	55%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Home Win	3.17	—	24%	Cashed	+2.17	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.30	—	15%	Cashed	+4.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.13u	+18% ROI

Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Monaco December 5, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.66 — +9.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled