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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Toulouse

Match Marseille vs Toulouse November 29, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 20:05
2:2
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Eric Wattellier, France
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.89 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.89 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.77 – 0.70
Δ +1.07
Possession
77% – 23%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Toulouse's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Toulouse struggles to convert chances effectively. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game.

  • Marseille's offensive pressure vs Toulouse's leaky defense
  • Home form advantage and tactical solidity
  • Potential for multiple goals in a high-tempo match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · TOU 3-4-2-1
MAR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · TOU 1 Rulli 22 Weah 28 Pavard 21 Aguerd 33 Palmieri 26 Nadir 23 Højbjerg ⚽ 10 Greenwood 8 Gomes 14 Paixão ⚽ 97 Aubameyang 1 Restes 3 McKenzie 4 Cresswell 2 Nicolaisen 19 Sidibé 45 Vossah 23 Cásseres 24 Methalie 15 Dønnum 9 Magri 20 Emersonn ⚽
Subs used · MAR
46' Vaz ↑ · Gomes ↓
76' Balerdi ↑ · Aguerd ↓
77' Kondogbia ↑ · Nadir ↓
90' Egan-Riley ↑ · Emerson ↓
90' O'Riley ↑ · Paixao ↓
Subs used · TOU
76' Messali ↑ · Vossah ↓
78' Kamanzi ↑ · Methalie ↓
85' Edjouma ↑ · Emersonn ↓
85' Vignolo ↑ · Sidibe ↓
89' Hidalgo ↑ · Magri ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 2 – 2 TOU
77%
Possession (%)
23%
1.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
20
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
10
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 2
14'
⚽
Emersonn
Assist · D. Sidibe · 0–1
Angel Gomes
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Half-time · 0 – 1
R. Vaz ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
I. Paixao
Assist · B. Nadir · 1–1
⚽
66'
P. Hojbjerg
Assist · P. Aubameyang · 2–1
⚽
74'
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Yellow Card
▮
75'
L. Balerdi ↓ · N. Aguerd ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
76'
⇄
R. Messali ↓ · A. Vossah ↑
Substitution 1
G. Kondogbia ↓ · B. Nadir ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
78'
⇄
W. Kamanzi ↓ · D. Methalie ↑
Substitution 2
81'
▮
Mark McKenzie
Yellow Card
85'
⇄
N. Edjouma ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 3
85'
⇄
J. Vignolo ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
S. Hidalgo ↓ · F. Magri ↑
Substitution 5
C. Egan-Riley ↓ · Emerson ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
M. O'Riley ↓ · I. Paixao ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
90'
⚽
S. Hidalgo
Assist · M. McKenzie · 2–2
Full-time · 2 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.89 — 61% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Home Win 1.66 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.89 — 57% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS No 1.96 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.40 — 35% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.06 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 — 40% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 — 82% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.18 — 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.25 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.22 — 22% Cashed +3.22 Cashed
Away Win 5.75 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.20 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.25 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.02u +0% ROI