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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Lyon

Predictions by Market: Auxerre vs Lyon

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Auxerre Referee Thomas Leonard, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUX
18%
Best 3.63
Draw
25%
Best 3.32
Away Win · LYO
56%
Best 2.10
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.40
book 3.75 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +10.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 18.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.4%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.6%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 18.4%
Odds 2.82
Show model details
Implied probability 35.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AUX – LYO @ 3.75
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →