P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 — Metz

Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Metz November 23, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Home · last 5 D L L L D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 16:15
3:2
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Stade Francis-Le Blé · Brest Referee Gael Angoula, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.85
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.89
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.78
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.91 – 1.05
Δ +1.86
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brest holds a clear quality edge over Metz, boosted by a solid home defensive setup that should contain Metz's less potent attack. Brest's recent form shows signs of resilience despite some draws, while Metz's winning streak has cooled off, hinting at a possible home momentum advantage. The match may see a moderate pace with balanced chances, favoring Brest's ability to control the game and capitalize on set-pieces.

  • Brest's defensive solidity at home
  • Metz's recent dip after strong form
  • Moderate tempo likely to suit Brest's compact style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · MET 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BRE
68' Labeau Lascary ↑ · Doumbia
78' Tousart ↑ · Magnetti
78' Balde ↑ · Mboup
Subs used · MET
68' Ballo-Toure ↑ · Kouao
68' Traore ↑ · Deminguet
68' Bokele Mputu ↑ · Tsitaishvili
78' Sane ↑ · Asoro

📊 Statistics

BRE 32 MET
56%
Possession (%)
44%
2.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.05
20
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
11
Shots off Target
3
15
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
8
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 3 – 2
P. Mboup
Assist · B. Chardonnet · 1–0
2'
6'
G. Tsitaishvili
Assist · T. Yegbe · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
K. Doumbia
Assist · L. Ajorque · 2–1
48'
Kamory Doumbia
Yellow Card
56'
R. Labeau Lascary ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑
Substitution 1
68'
68'
F. Ballo-Toure ↓ · K. Kouao ↑
Substitution 1
68'
B. Traore ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑
Substitution 2
68'
M. Bokele Mputu ↓ · G. Tsitaishvili ↑
Substitution 3
L. Tousart ↓ · H. Magnetti ↑
Substitution 2
78'
M. Balde ↓ · P. Mboup ↑
Substitution 3
78'
78'
I. Sane ↓ · J. Asoro ↑
Substitution 4
79'
S. Coulibaly
Own goal · 2–2
83'
Fodé Ballo-Touré
Yellow Card
84'
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
Yellow Card
Soumaila Coulibaly
Yellow Card
87'
R. Del Castillo (P)
Penalty · 3–2
90'
90+8'
Alpha Touré
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.85 61% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.89 54% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.78 54% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS No 2.09 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.12 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 85% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 32% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 61% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 77% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.88 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.82 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.28 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.31u −19% ROI