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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Monaco

Rennes vs Monaco 4:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 18:00
4:1
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.49 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.48 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 33% · book 2.75 ✗
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
3.59 – 1.32
Δ +2.27
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.48 — +12.5% better than the market.

Rennes vs Monaco Preview

Monaco holds a clear quality edge and offensive advantage, suggesting they can challenge Rennes' defense effectively. Despite Rennes' home momentum and a compact defensive block, Monaco's sharper attack and recent form hint at a competitive clash. The match leans towards a lively pace with goal-scoring chances for both sides, supported by the odds favoring over 2.5 goals.

  • Monaco's offensive edge vs Rennes' defense
  • Rennes' home resilience and recent form
  • Expected open game with multiple goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.48 ✓ Cashed
AI 45% Implied 40% +1.48u
+148%
ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 3-5-2 · MON 3-4-2-1
REN · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · MON 30 Samba 48 Boudlal ⚽ 97 Jacquet 3 Brassier 95 Frankowski 45 Camara ⚽ 21 Rongier 6 Cissé 11 Tamari 9 Lepaul 7 Embolo ⚽ 1 Hrádecký 4 Teze 5 Kehrer 22 Salisu 27 Diatta 6 Zakaria 28 Coulibaly 20 Ouattara 11 Akliouche 31 Fati 19 Ilenikhena
Subs used · REN
75' Merlin ↑ · Cisse ↓
75' Blas ↑ · Lepaul ↓
85' Kamara ↑ · Tamari ↓
90+1' Seidu ↑ · Frankowski ↓
90+1' Rosier ↑ · Embolo ↓
Subs used · MON
61' Minamino ↑ · Fati ↓
61' Biereth ↑ · Ilenikhena ↓
70' Vanderson ↑ · Diatta ↓
70' Camara ↑ · Akliouche ↓
85' Pogba ↑ · Coulibaly ↓

Statistics

REN 4 – 1 MON
51%
Possession (%)
49%
3.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
17
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
5
3
Fouls
13
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 4 – 1
19'
▮
Maghnes Akliouche
Yellow Card
A. Ait Boudlal
Assist · M. Camara · 1–0
⚽
20'
Half-time · 1 – 0
M. Camara
2–0
⚽
48'
61'
⇄
T. Minamino ↓ · A. Fati ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
M. Biereth ↓ · G. Ilenikhena ↑
Substitution 2
66'
▮
Denis Zakaria
Red Card
70'
⇄
Vanderson ↓ · K. Diatta ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
L. Camara ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑
Substitution 4
B. Embolo
Assist · P. Frankowski · 3–0
⚽
73'
Q. Merlin ↓ · D. Cisse ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
75'
L. Blas ↓ · E. Lepaul ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
75'
L. Blas (P)
Penalty · 4–0
⚽
83'
G. Kamara ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
P. Pogba ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
M. Biereth
Assist · Vanderson · 4–1
A. Seidu ↓ · P. Frankowski ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+1'
L. Rosier ↓ · B. Embolo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+1'
Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

Rennes beat Monaco 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.59 to 1.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: A. Ait Boudlal (20'), M. Camara (48'), B. Embolo (73'), L. Blas (83'), M. Biereth (90'). Denis Zakaria was sent off in the 66' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.68 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.49 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.48 — 45% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
BTTS No 2.75 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.65 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.85 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.61 — 52% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.11 — 27% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.49 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.58 — 67% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.48 — 67% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Home Win 2.83 — 27% Cashed +1.83 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 — 85% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.85 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.68u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
REN – MON @ 2.48
+12.5%
Edge
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