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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Nantes — Lorient

Predictions by Market: Nantes vs Lorient

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Nantes
Nantes
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 16:15
1:1
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Stade de la Beaujoire · Nantes Referee Ruddy Buquet, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAN
30%
Best 3.00
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · LOR
44%
Best 2.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.51
Fair odds
3.23
book 3.51 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +8.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.5%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.82
Show model details
Implied probability 35.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31%
Odds 3.51
Show model details
Implied probability 28.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29.5%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 56%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
NAN – LOR @ 3.51
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →