Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.90 — +13.0% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain arrives at Parc Olympique Lyonnais with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can break down Lyon's compact defense. Despite Lyon's recent home momentum and solid form, PSG's pressing and attacking threat should test the hosts' resilience. The match hints at a moderately open pace, with both sides capable of goals but PSG favored to control key moments.

PSG's superior overall strength and attack vs Lyon's defense
Lyon's decent home form and defensive solidity
Moderate tempo likely, favoring tactical battles and set-piece chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.90 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 53% +0.90u

+90%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LYO 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3

LYO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PSG

18 Ghezzal

Subs used · LYO

64'

Karabec ↑ ·

Ghezzal ↓

78'

Tolisso ↑ ·

Merah ↓

Subs used · PSG

67'

Ndjantou ↑ ·

Mayulu ↓

74'

Mbaye ↑ ·

Ruiz ↓

74'

Ramos ↑ ·

Kvaratskhelia ↓

74'

Marquinhos ↑ ·

Hernandez ↓

Statistics

LYO 2 – 3 PSG

28%

Possession (%)

72%

0.62

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 2 – 3

Martín Satriano

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

26'

⚽

W. Zaire-Emery

Assist · Vitinha · 0–1

A. Moreira

Assist · M. Niakhate · 1–1

⚽

30'

33'

⚽

K. Kvaratskhelia

Assist · Vitinha · 1–2

Clinton Mata

Yellow Card

▮

44'

45+1'

▮

Senny Mayulu

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 2

A. Maitland-Niles

Assist · T. Morton · 2–2

⚽

50'

Nicolás Tagliafico

Yellow Card

▮

57'

Tyler Morton

Yellow Card

▮

57'

A. Karabec ↓ · R. Ghezzal ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

67'

⇄

Q. Ndjantou ↓ · S. Mayulu ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

I. Mbaye ↓ · F. Ruiz ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

G. Ramos ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑

Substitution 3

74'

⇄

Marquinhos ↓ · L. Hernandez ↑

Substitution 4

C. Tolisso ↓ · K. Merah ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

90'

⚽

J. Neves

Assist · Lee Kang-In · 2–3

Corentin Tolisso

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Nicolás Tagliafico

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Nicolás Tagliafico

Red Card

▮

90+3'

90+6'

▮

Gonçalo Ramos

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain won 3–2 away at Lyon. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.44 to 0.62. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.44 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Zaire-Emery (26'), A. Moreira (30'), K. Kvaratskhelia (33'), A. Maitland-Niles (50'), J. Neves (90'). Nicolás Tagliafico was sent off in the 90+3' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.28 units (Brier 0.123).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.90	—	59%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	60%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.59	—	38%	Cashed	+1.59	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	61%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.44	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.46	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.04	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.44	—	59%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.56	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	—	82%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.20	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.11	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.03	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.16	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.28u	−25% ROI

Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled