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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Angers — Auxerre

Angers vs Auxerre 2:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Angers
Angers
Home · last 5 D L L D D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 16:15
2:0
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Stade Raymond-Kopa · Angers Referee Abdelatif Kherradji, France
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.68 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.88 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 46% · book 2.69 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.66 – 0.59
Δ +0.07
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.97 — +13.8% better than the market.

Angers holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Stade Raymond-Kopa. Their recent form shows resilience with a balanced mix of results, while Auxerre struggles for consistency and defensive solidity. Expect a tactical battle where Angers' pressing and set-piece threat could unlock a compact Auxerre defense.

  • Home momentum and pressing edge
  • Auxerre's defensive challenges
  • Likely cautious pace with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 2.97 ✗ Lost
AI 38% Implied 34% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ANG 4-2-3-1 · AUX 4-3-3
ANG · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · AUX 12 Koffi 2 Arcus 4 Camara 21 Lefort 3 Ekomie 93 Belkebla 10 Abdelli 14 Belkhdim 6 Mouton 7 Sbai 11 Cherif 16 Léon 29 Senaya 4 Sierralta 92 Akpa 22 Oppegård 34 Matondo 42 Owusu 5 Danois 23 Osman 10 Sinayoko 19 Namaso
Subs used · ANG
64' Raolisoa ↑ · Belkhdim ↓
75' Hanin ↑ · Ekomie ↓
75' Courcoul ↑ · Mouton ↓
82' Djibirin ↑ · Cherif ↓
82' Peter ↑ · Sbai ↓
Subs used · AUX
46' Casimir ↑ · Osman ↓
72' Mara ↑ · Matondo ↓
77' Mensah ↑ · Sinayoko ↓
83' Sy ↑ · Senaya ↓
83' Diousse ↑ · Owusu ↓

Statistics

ANG 2 – 0 AUX
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.59
9
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
5
2
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
19
Fouls
14
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 2 – 0
7'
▮
Elisha Owusu
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
J. Casimir ↓ · I. Osman ↑
Substitution 1
Sidiki Cherif
Yellow Card
▮
61'
L. Raolisoa ↓ · Y. Belkhdim ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
Amine Sbai
Yellow Card
▮
68'
70'
▮
Francisco Sierralta
Yellow Card
C. Akpa
Own goal · 1–0
⚽
71'
72'
⇄
S. Mara ↓ · R. Matondo ↑
Substitution 2
F. Hanin ↓ · J. Ekomie ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
75'
M. Courcoul ↓ · L. Mouton ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
77'
⇄
G. Mensah ↓ · L. Sinayoko ↑
Substitution 3
H. Djibirin ↓ · S. Cherif ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
P. Peter ↓ · A. Sbai ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
83'
⇄
L. Sy ↓ · M. Senaya ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
A. Diousse ↓ · E. Owusu ↑
Substitution 5
P. Peter
2–0
⚽
87'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Angers beat Auxerre 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Akpa (71'), P. Peter (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.64 units (Brier 0.127).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.68 — 65% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
BTTS No 1.88 — 58% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Home Win 2.69 — 46% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.88 — 46% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.38 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.98 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.11 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.97 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.45 — 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.44 — 62% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.00 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 — 83% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.22 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.64u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ANG – AUX @ 2.97
+13.8%
Edge
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