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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lorient — Toulouse

Predictions by Market: Lorient vs Toulouse

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LOR
24%
Best 3.00
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · TOU
49%
Best 2.42
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.41
book 3.75 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (71%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.9%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 24.1%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LOR – TOU @ 3.75
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →