Match Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.84 — +10.8% better than the market.

Lyon enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge over Brest, despite the latter's stronger recent form at home. Brest’s attacking efforts face a stern test against Lyon’s solid defensive setup, which could limit clear chances. The home side’s slight pressing advantage and momentum from recent wins may keep the game competitive, but Lyon’s superior overall strength and away resilience suggest they can control key moments.

Brest’s home momentum and pressing edge
Lyon’s defensive solidity and quality gap
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.84 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · LYO 4-2-3-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LYO

19 Ajorque

Subs used · BRE

71'

Magnetti ↑ ·

Tousart ↓

72'

Labeau Lascary ↑ ·

Balde ↓

82'

Dina Ebimbe ↑ ·

Mboup ↓

Subs used · LYO

15'

Maitland-Niles ↑ ·

Tessmann ↓

76'

Ghezzal ↑ ·

Satriano ↓

84'

de Carvalho ↑ ·

Tolisso ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 0 – 0 LYO

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

8 · 0 – 0

▮

Hans Hateboer

Red Card

15'

⇄

A. Maitland-Niles ↓ · T. Tessmann ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

Pathé Mboup

Yellow Card

▮

63'

H. Magnetti ↓ · L. Tousart ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

R. Labeau Lascary ↓ · M. Balde ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

76'

⇄

R. Ghezzal ↓ · M. Satriano ↑

Substitution 2

J. Dina Ebimbe ↓ · P. Mboup ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

84'

⇄

M. de Carvalho ↓ · C. Tolisso ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.35 to 0.18. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 4, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 2.

Hans Hateboer was sent off in the 8' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +14.04 units (Brier 0.376).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.84	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.35	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.30	—	39%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.17	—	40%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.68	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	49%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.31	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	61%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Home Win	3.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	95%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.65	—	26%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.40	—	19%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.00	—	5%	Cashed	+13.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+14.04u	+83% ROI