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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lens — Lorient

Predictions by Market: Lens vs Lorient

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 16:15
3:0
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Jeremie Pignard, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEN
69%
Best 1.58
Draw
21%
Best 4.34
Away Win · LOR
10%
Best 5.84
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.80
Fair odds
2.51
book 2.80 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.5%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.2%
Odds 7.25
Show model details
Implied probability 13.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.7%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.2%
Odds 5.41
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEN – LOR @ 2.80
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →