Rennes vs Auxerre 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.81 — +11.6% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Rennes and Auxerre, Rennes is favored with a 61.68% chance of winning, reflected in odds of 1.81. The match is expected to be competitive, with a slight edge towards Rennes due to their overall strength and home advantage. The Double Chance 1X market offers a safer option, with an 85.24% estimated probability at odds of 1.23. The Under 2.5 Goals market is also appealing, with a 51.85% probability and odds of 2.06, suggesting a cautious approach from both sides. Consider the Under 1.5 Goals market as well, with a 26.4% probability and odds of 4.1, for a higher-risk, higher-reward option.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.81 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 3-5-2 · AUX 5-4-1

REN · 3-5-2 5-4-1 · AUX

7 Embolo ⚽

Subs used · REN

77'

Tamari ↑ ·

Blas ↓

77'

Meite ↑ ·

Embolo ↓

Subs used · AUX

68'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Osman ↓

68'

Owusu ↑ ·

Danois ↓

68'

Mara ↑ ·

Casimir ↓

76'

Diousse ↑ ·

El Azzouzi ↓

Statistics

REN 2 – 2 AUX

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.89

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 2 – 2

⚽

D. Namaso

0–1

B. Embolo

Assist · L. Blas · 1–1

⚽

18'

45'

▮

Clement Akpa

Yellow Card

45+3'

▮

Josué Casimir

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 1

S. Fofana

Assist · E. Lepaul · 2–1

⚽

56'

68'

⇄

L. Coulibaly ↓ · I. Osman ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

E. Owusu ↓ · K. Danois ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⇄

S. Mara ↓ · J. Casimir ↑

Substitution 3

Anthony Rouault

Yellow Card

▮

69'

72'

⚽

L. Sinayoko (P)

Penalty · 2–2

76'

⇄

A. Diousse ↓ · O. El Azzouzi ↑

Substitution 4

M. Tamari ↓ · L. Blas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

77'

M. Meite ↓ · B. Embolo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

90'

▮

Assane Dioussé

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Rennes and Auxerre drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Namaso (8'), B. Embolo (18'), S. Fofana (56'), L. Sinayoko (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.39 units (Brier 0.237).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.81	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.23	—	85%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.06	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.98	—	24%	Cashed	+2.98	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	51%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	74%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	—	48%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	27%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	38%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.35	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.40	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.39u	−2% ROI

Rennes vs Auxerre 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Preview & Verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled