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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Nice — Lyon

Match Nice vs Lyon October 18, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Nice
Nice
Home · last 5 D L D D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 15:00
3:2
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Allianz Riviera · Nice Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 69% · book 1.57 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 43% · book 2.88 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.12 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
0.60 – 3.04
Δ −2.44
Possession
31% – 69%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Nice and Lyon, the odds suggest a tightly contested match. Lyon holds a slight edge with a 43.18% estimated probability of winning, compared to Nice's 31.23%. The draw is also a viable outcome with a 25.59% chance. The market favors goals, with a 52.8% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored. Both teams have a solid attacking profile, making the 'BTTS Yes' market appealing at 58.08% probability. The 'Double Chance X2' market offers a safer option, covering a Lyon win or draw with a high estimated probability of 68.77%.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NIC 3-4-3 · LYO 4-2-3-1
NIC · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · LYO 80 Diouf 33 Mendy 37 Oppong 4 Dante 92 Clauss 6 Boudaoui ⚽ 24 Vanhoutte 26 Bard ⚽ 25 Cho 10 Diop ⚽ 7 Boga 1 Greif 98 Maitland-Niles 22 Mata 21 Kluivert 16 Vinícius 23 Morton 8 Tolisso 7 Karabec 10 Šulc ⚽ 11 Fofana 20 Satriano
Subs used · NIC
66' Bah ↑ · Dante ↓
73' Louchet ↑ · Cho ↓
73' Sanson ↑ · Diop ↓
73' Gouveia ↑ · Boga ↓
Subs used · LYO
68' Tagliafico ↑ · Vinicius ↓
68' Ghezzal ↑ · Karabec ↓
77' Niakhate ↑ · Mata ↓
77' Tessmann ↑ · Morton ↓
77' Moreira ↑ · Fofana ↓

📊 Statistics

NIC 3 – 2 LYO
31%
Possession (%)
69%
0.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.04
5
Total Shots
29
4
Shots on Target
7
1
Shots off Target
7
5
Shots Inside Box
16
1
Corner Kicks
16
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
11
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 2
M. Bard
Assist · S. Diop · 1–0
⚽
5'
26'
▮
Clinton Mata
Yellow Card
29'
⚽
P. Sulc
Assist · R. Kluivert · 1–1
S. Diop
Assist · J. Boga · 2–1
⚽
35'
Half-time · 2 – 1
H. Boudaoui
Assist · J. Clauss · 3–1
⚽
55'
Charles Vanhoutte
Yellow Card
▮
64'
J. Bah ↓ · Dante ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
68'
⇄
N. Tagliafico ↓ · Abner Vinicius ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
R. Ghezzal ↓ · A. Karabec ↑
Substitution 2
T. Louchet ↓ · M. Cho ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
M. Sanson ↓ · S. Diop ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
T. Gouveia ↓ · J. Boga ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
77'
⇄
M. Niakhate ↓ · C. Mata ↑
Substitution 3
77'
⇄
T. Tessmann ↓ · T. Morton ↑
Substitution 4
77'
⇄
A. Moreira ↓ · M. Fofana ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
P. Sulc
3–2
90+6'
▮
Moussa Niakhaté
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.12 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.37 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.84 — 53% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.63 — 58% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Home Win 2.56 — 31% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
Draw 3.65 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.80 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 — 78% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.25 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 — 31% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.48 — 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.88 — 31% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.07 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.29u −13% ROI