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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Strasbourg

Predictions by Market: Paris Saint Germain vs Strasbourg

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 17 Oct · 18:45
3:3
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSG
65%
Best 1.34
Draw
17%
Best 5.55
Away Win · STR
18%
Best 8.70
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.82
book 6.00 · +3.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 17% · EV +3.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (65%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 17.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.1%
Odds 9.75
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.3%
Odds 3.57
Show model details
Implied probability 28%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSG – STR @ 6.00
+3.1%
Edge
Forecast →