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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Metz — Le Havre

Match Metz vs Le Havre September 28, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 15:15
0:0
Full-time
Le Havre
Le Havre
D D D L W Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Guillaume Paradis, France
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.81
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.06
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 62% · book 1.51
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.33 – 0.42
Δ −0.09
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
3 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This matchup features two teams struggling for consistent form, with Metz showing a particularly poor run at home and Le Havre also underperforming away. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities and modest attacking output, suggesting a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances. The home side's recent struggles and lower overall strength compared to their visitors slightly tilt the balance in favor of Le Havre, but the margin is narrow. The market odds reflect this balance, with a close contest expected. Our model leans toward a low-scoring affair with goals at both ends possible but not guaranteed. The best value lies in cautious totals and double chance options that cover the draw and away win, while Asian handicap markets offer some appeal on the away side given Metz's defensive frailties.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

MET 00 HAV
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.42
7
Total Shots
11
0
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
2
4
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
16
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

8 · 0 – 0
30'
Yanis Zouaoui
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
G. Tsitaishvili ↓ · U. Mboula ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Jessy Deminguet
Yellow Card
51'
61'
R. Ndiaye ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑
Substitution 1
61'
F. Doucoure ↓ · A. Samatta ↑
Substitution 2
Boubacar Traoré
Yellow Card
74'
76'
T. Delaine ↓ · Y. Zouaoui ↑
Substitution 3
88'
Étienne Youte Kinkoue
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 3 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.81 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.51 62% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 65% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.98 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -0.5 2.65 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.72 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 28% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Away Win 2.74 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.32 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 7 L −3.42u −34% ROI