This matchup features Angers with a solid defensive shape at home but limited attacking threat, contrasted by Stade Brestois 29's stronger overall profile and more dynamic attack despite some defensive vulnerabilities. Angers’ recent form is mixed with few wins, while Brestois have struggled away but show potential to score. The home advantage and defensive discipline of Angers suggest a tight contest with moderate scoring. The probabilities favor an away win but with a close margin, and the market prices reflect a balanced opportunity for all outcomes. Our top value lies in cautious totals and both teams to score, with Asian handicap options offering interesting angles on Brestois’ slight edge.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
ANG 4-4-2 · BRE 4-2-3-1📊 Statistics
ANG 0 – 2 BRE57%
Possession (%)
43%
0.52
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.56
11
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
6
11
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
13
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
⏱ Match events
10 · 0 – 226'
⚽
R. Labeau Lascary
Assist · R. Del Castillo · 0–1
32'
⚽
R. Del Castillo (P)
Penalty · 0–2
Jacques Ekomie
Yellow Card
41'
45'
▮
Hugo Magnetti
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 2
E. Biumla ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 1
46'
63'
⇄
P. Mboup ↓ · R. Labeau Lascary ↑
Substitution 1
F. Hanin ↓ · J. Ekomie ↑
Substitution 2
66'
L. Mouton ↓ · H. Abdelli ↑
Substitution 3
70'
L. Machine ↓ · S. Cherif ↑
Substitution 4
70'
75'
⇄
J. Dina Ebimbe ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑
Substitution 2
Full-time · 0 – 2
Match recap
Stade Brestois 29 won 2–0 away at Angers. At half-time it was 0–2.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.56 to 0.52. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4.
On the scoresheet: R. Labeau Lascary (26'), R. Del Castillo (32').
Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 2 landed and 5 missed, for a net -2.80 units (Brier 0.229).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
7 · 2 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away Win | 2.44 | — | 44% | Cashed | +1.44 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.80 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 2.06 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.63 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.76 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.76 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 3.25 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.46 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 7 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 2 W · 5 L | −2.80u | −40% ROI |