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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lorient — Monaco

Match Lorient vs Monaco September 27, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 15:00
3:1
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Ruddy Buquet, France
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.61
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 70% · book 1.57
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 85% · book 1.21
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.52 – 0.14
Δ +2.38
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
6 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lorient enters this match with a fragile defensive record at home and a recent mixed form, while Monaco shows strong attacking capabilities and a solid defensive shape away from home. Monaco’s recent winning streak and overall strength suggest they are the clear favorites, especially given their efficiency in front of goal. The home side’s struggles to convert chances and defensive vulnerabilities make a Monaco win the most likely outcome. The game is expected to feature goals from both sides, with a good chance of finishing over 2.5 goals. Betting angles favor backing Monaco on the Asian Handicap and considering BTTS and over 2.5 goals markets for added value.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · MON 3-5-2
Subs used · LOR
62' Makengo ↑ · Tosin
62' Soumano ↑ · Bamba
72' Pagis ↑ · Karim
83' Cadiou ↑ · Avom
83' Mvuka Mugisha ↑ · Le Bris
Subs used · MON
46' Diatta ↑ · Vanderson
46' Balogun ↑ · Biereth
65' Idumbo ↑ · Minamino
65' Fati ↑ · Ilenikhena
81' Cabral ↑ · Coulibaly

📊 Statistics

LOR 31 MON
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.52
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.14
19
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
2
2
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

20 · 3 – 1
9'
Thilo Kehrer
Yellow Card
21'
Vanderson
Yellow Card
38'
Thilo Kehrer
Yellow Card
38'
Thilo Kehrer
Red Card
M. Bamba
Assist · A. Kouassi · 1–0
40'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Karim Dermane
Yellow Card
46'
46'
K. Diatta ↓ · Vanderson ↑
Substitution 1
46'
F. Balogun ↓ · M. Biereth ↑
Substitution 2
Mohamed Bamba
Yellow Card
48'
J. Makengo ↓ · A. Tosin ↑
Substitution 1
62'
S. Soumano ↓ · M. Bamba ↑
Substitution 2
62'
65'
S. Idumbo ↓ · T. Minamino ↑
Substitution 3
65'
A. Fati ↓ · G. Ilenikhena ↑
Substitution 4
P. Pagis ↓ · D. Karim ↑
Substitution 3
72'
P. Pagis
Assist · S. Soumano · 2–0
76'
81'
P. Cabral ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 5
P. Pagis
Assist · J. Makengo · 3–0
82'
N. Cadiou ↓ · A. Avom ↑
Substitution 4
83'
J. Mvuka Mugisha ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑
Substitution 5
83'
90'
A. Fati (P)
Penalty · 3–1
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 6 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.61 65% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 70% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.21 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.29 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.12 85% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Home Win 5.12 14% Cashed +4.12 Cashed
Draw 4.70 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.67 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -0.5 4.65 15% Cashed +3.65 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.42 60% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 4 L +5.49u +55% ROI