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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — Genoa

Predictions by Market: Lecce vs Genoa

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
46%
Best 1.93
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · GEN
28%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.86
book 2.10 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (72%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 5.11
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – GEN @ 2.10
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →