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Home › Italy › Serie A › Hellas Verona — AS Roma

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
Home · last 5 D D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 18:45
0:2
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 2.05 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 40% · book 2.27 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.77 – 3.36
Δ −2.59
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.05 — +14.3% better than the market.

Serie A Preview: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

AS Roma arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a notable quality edge over Hellas Verona. The visitors' attacking prowess contrasts with Verona's defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting Roma's offense could find opportunities. However, Verona's home resilience and compact defensive setup might limit the goal flow, pointing to a tactical battle with a moderate tempo. Expect Roma to press for control while Verona aims to absorb pressure and counter.

  • Roma's superior form and offensive edge
  • Verona's defensive compactness at home
  • Moderate pace likely to keep scoring chances measured

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ✓ Cashed
AI 56% Implied 49% +1.05u
+105%
ROI on stake

Lineups

VER 3-5-2 · ROM 3-4-2-1
VER · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · ROM 1 Montipò 15 Nelsson 5 Edmundsson 6 Valentini 7 Belghali 11 Akpa-Akpro 4 Lovrić 21 Harroui 3 Frese 10 Suslov 18 Bowie 99 Svilar 87 Ghilardi 23 Mancini 22 Hermoso 19 Çelik 4 Cristante 61 Pisilli 2 Rensch 21 Dybala 18 Soulé 14 Malen ⚽
Subs used · VER
58' Musrati ↑ · Lovric ↓
58' Bella-Kotchap ↑ · Suslov ↓
70' Sarr ↑ · Harroui ↓
70' Bradaric ↑ · Frese ↓
86' Vermesan ↑ · Belghali ↓
Subs used · ROM
46' Ziolkowski ↑ · Ghilardi ↓
46' El Aynaoui ↑ · Pisilli ↓
72' El Shaarawy ↑ · Soule ↓
73' Kone ↑ · Ziolkowski ↓
84' Vaz ↑ · Malen ↓

Statistics

VER 0 – 2 ROM
33%
Possession (%)
67%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.36
8
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots off Target
7
4
Shots Inside Box
14
6
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
10
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 0 – 2
N. Valentini
Yellow Card
▮
35'
S. Lovric
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
J. Ziolkowski ↓ · D. Ghilardi ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
N. El Aynaoui ↓ · N. Pisilli ↑
Substitution 2
N. Valentini
Yellow Card
▮
50'
N. Valentini
Red Card
▮
50'
56'
⚽
D. Malen (P)
Penalty · Assist · D. Malen · 0–1
56'
⚽
D. Malen
Assist · P. Dybala · 0–2
Al Musrati ↓ · S. Lovric ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
A. Bella-Kotchap ↓ · T. Suslov ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
A. Sarr ↓ · A. Harroui ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
D. Bradaric ↓ · M. Frese ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
71'
▮
J. Ziolkowski
Yellow Card
72'
⇄
S. El Shaarawy ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
M. Kone ↓ · J. Ziolkowski ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
R. Vaz ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 5
I. Vermesan ↓ · R. Belghali ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
90+3'
⚽
S. El Shaarawy
Assist · P. Dybala · 0–3
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

AS Roma won 2–0 away at Hellas Verona. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.36 to 0.77. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 8, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Malen (56'), S. El Shaarawy (90+3'). N. Valentini was sent off in the 50' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.11 units (Brier 0.075).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.05 2.00 56% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS No 1.67 1.69 60% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.27 2.08 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.90 1.80 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 3.80 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.35 1.37 75% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.07 1.07 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.06 1.10 75% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.60 12.05 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.20 3.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.33 76% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 5.50 4.81 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.01 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 1.24 69% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.50 3.10 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 11.00 8.70 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.50 6.13 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.11u −36% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
VER – ROM @ 2.05
+14.3%
Edge
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