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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Atalanta

Match Fiorentina vs Atalanta May 22, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Fri 22 May · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Referee M. Perri
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.68
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.22
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.38
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.81 – 1.58
Δ −0.77
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atalanta enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage on Fiorentina's home turf. Despite Fiorentina's compact defensive shape, Atalanta's sharper attack and recent form suggest they can unlock chances. The home side's recent inconsistency contrasts with Atalanta's steadier point accumulation, hinting at an away side with momentum. Expect a tactical battle with Atalanta's offensive pressure testing Fiorentina's resilience.

  • Atalanta's superior overall strength and offensive edge
  • Fiorentina's defensive solidity at home
  • Recent form favors Atalanta's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FIO 4-3-3 · ATA 3-4-2-1
Subs used · FIO
67' Ndour ↑ · Brescianini
67' Pongracic ↑ · Rugani
76' Balbo ↑ · Gosens
76' Solomon ↑ · Gudmundsson
87' Lezzerini ↑ · Christensen
Subs used · ATA
46' Zappacosta ↑ · Bellanova
62' De Ketelaere ↑ · Samardzic
67' Djimsiti ↑ · Scalvini
81' Scamacca ↑ · De Roon
81' Vavassori ↑ · Sulemana

📊 Statistics

FIO 11 ATA
40%
Possession (%)
60%
0.81
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
11
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
12
8
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
0
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
R. Piccoli
Assist · M. Brescianini · 1–0
39'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
D. Zappacosta ↓ · R. Bellanova ↑
Substitution 1
47'
K. Sulemana
Yellow Card
60'
H. Ahanor
Yellow Card
62'
C. De Ketelaere ↓ · L. Samardzic ↑
Substitution 2
67'
B. Djimsiti ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑
Substitution 3
C. Ndour ↓ · M. Brescianini ↑
Substitution 1
67'
M. Pongracic ↓ · D. Rugani ↑
Substitution 2
67'
L. Balbo ↓ · R. Gosens ↑
Substitution 3
76'
M. Solomon ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 4
76'
81'
G. Scamacca ↓ · M. De Roon ↑
Substitution 4
81'
D. Vavassori ↓ · K. Sulemana ↑
Substitution 5
82'
P. Comuzzo
Own goal · 1–1
L. Lezzerini ↓ · O. Christensen ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.68 2.40 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.22 2.20 46% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 2.43 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.77 1.67 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.81 1.75 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 2.56 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.72 2.85 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.98 2.13 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.52 1.42 72% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.45 67% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.52 57% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 1.53 54% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.01 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.63 3.45 26% Cashed +2.63 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 1.17 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.70 14.93 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.83u −17% ROI