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Home › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Udinese

Predictions by Market: Napoli vs Udinese

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Zanotti, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAP
68%
Best 1.52
Draw
22%
Best 4.56
Away Win · UDI
10%
Best 7.37
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.48
book 3.75 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.9%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
NAP – UDI @ 3.75
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →