P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Pisa — Napoli

Predictions by Market: Pisa vs Napoli

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
0:3
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Francesco Fourneau, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PIS
8%
Best 9.50
Draw
20%
Best 5.11
Away Win · NAP
72%
Best 1.42
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.59
book 4.10 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.16
Show model details
Implied probability 19.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 8.3%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.7%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 8.3%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 28%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PIS – NAP @ 4.10
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →