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⚽ Football 57 ＋ Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Pisa — Napoli

Match Pisa vs Napoli May 17, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
0:3
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Francesco Fourneau, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.09 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 44% · book 2.15 ✗
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.80 – 1.08
Δ −0.28
Possession
24% – 76%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.09 — +11.0% better than the market.

Napoli arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, while Pisa struggles with a tough run of losses. Napoli's attacking threat should challenge Pisa's defense, which has been vulnerable. The home side's compact block might limit goals, but Napoli's pressing and superior offensive firepower suggest they control the pace.

  • Napoli's offensive edge against Pisa's defense
  • Home side's poor form vs away momentum
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.09 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PIS 3-5-2 · NAP 3-4-3
PIS · 3-5-2 3-4-3 · NAP 1 Šemper 5 Canestrelli 4 Caracciolo 33 Calabresi 7 Léris 8 Højholt 20 Aebischer 14 Akinsanmiro 3 Angori 81 Stojilković 32 Moreo 1 Meret 31 Beukema 13 Rrahmani ⚽ 4 Buongiorno 22 Lorenzo 8 McTominay ⚽ 68 Lobotka 37 Spinazzola 20 Elmas 19 Højlund ⚽ 27 Santos
Subs used · PIS
60' Meister ↑ · Stojilkovic ↓
61' Piccinini ↑ · Akinsanmiro ↓
70' Toure ↑ · Calabresi ↓
70' Cuadrado ↑ · Leris ↓
71' Vural ↑ · Moreo ↓
Subs used · NAP
59' De Bruyne ↑ · Elmas ↓
59' Olivera ↑ · Buongiorno ↓
79' Gutierrez ↑ · Spinazzola ↓
80' Vergara ↑ · Santos ↓
88' Mazzocchi ↑ · Di Lorenzo ↓

📊 Statistics

PIS 0 – 3 NAP
24%
Possession (%)
76%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.08
4
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
8
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

17 · 0 – 3
21'
⚽
S. McTominay
Assist · R. Hojlund · 0–1
27'
⚽
A. Rrahmani
Assist · E. Elmas · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
A. Calabresi
Yellow Card
▮
53'
53'
▮
E. Elmas
Yellow Card
59'
⇄
K. De Bruyne ↓ · E. Elmas ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
M. Olivera ↓ · A. Buongiorno ↑
Substitution 2
H. Meister ↓ · F. Stojilkovic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
G. Piccinini ↓ · E. Akinsanmiro ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
I. Toure ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
J. Cuadrado ↓ · M. Leris ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
I. Vural ↓ · S. Moreo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
71'
78'
▮
Alisson Santos
Yellow Card
A. Caracciolo
Yellow Card
▮
78'
79'
⇄
M. Gutierrez ↓ · L. Spinazzola ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
A. Vergara ↓ · Alisson Santos ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
P. Mazzocchi ↓ · G. Di Lorenzo ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
⚽
R. Hojlund
Assist · P. Mazzocchi · 0–3
Full-time · 0 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.09 2.00 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.70 56% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.15 2.07 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 1.80 47% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Away Win 1.43 1.36 72% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 4.00 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 1.36 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.10 1.08 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.10 3.05 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.12 1.10 72% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 3.00 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 12.05 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.16 4.88 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.03 91% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 1.23 72% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Home Win 9.00 9.09 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.40 6.49 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.00u −35% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
PIS – NAP @ 2.09
+11.0%
Edge
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