P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AS Roma — Lazio
Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 D W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
2:0
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.98
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.85
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 1.96
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.20 – 0.71
Δ +0.49
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.98 — +7.1% better than the market.

Serie A Derby Preview

AS Roma enters this derby with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a notable edge in quality and attacking threat. Their compact defensive block should challenge Lazio’s less potent offense, while Roma’s pressing and set-piece threat add further weight. Lazio’s form and lower scoring potential suggest a cautious game, likely with limited goals and a home side favored to control the tempo.

  • Roma’s home edge and recent form favor control
  • Defensive solidity vs Lazio’s modest attack
  • Moderate pace hints at a tactical, measured clash

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.98 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 51% +0.98u
+98%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · LAZ 4-3-3
Subs used · ROM
37' Rensch ↑ · Ndicka
46' El Shaarawy ↑ · Pisilli
83' Soule ↑ · Malen
83' Ziolkowski ↑ · Mancini
88' Dovbyk ↑ · Dybala
Subs used · LAZ
62' Maldini ↑ · Dia
62' Dele-Bashiru ↑ · Taylor
71' Isaksen ↑ · Cancellieri
79' Pedro ↑ · Noslin
79' Lazzari ↑ · Marusic

📊 Statistics

ROM 20 LAZ
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.71
16
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
17
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

19 · 2 – 0
21'
K. Taylor
Yellow Card
D. Rensch ↓ · E. Ndicka ↑
Substitution 1
37'
G. Mancini
Assist · N. Pisilli · 1–0
40'
M. Hermoso
Yellow Card
42'
42'
M. Cancellieri
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
S. El Shaarawy ↓ · N. Pisilli ↑
Substitution 2
46'
62'
D. Maldini ↓ · B. Dia ↑
Substitution 1
62'
F. Dele-Bashiru ↓ · K. Taylor ↑
Substitution 2
64'
N. Tavares
Yellow Card
G. Mancini
Assist · P. Dybala · 2–0
66'
Wesley Franca
Red Card
70'
70'
N. Rovella
Red Card
71'
G. Isaksen ↓ · M. Cancellieri ↑
Substitution 3
79'
Pedro ↓ · T. Noslin ↑
Substitution 4
79'
M. Lazzari ↓ · A. Marusic ↑
Substitution 5
M. Soule ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 3
83'
J. Ziolkowski ↓ · G. Mancini ↑
Substitution 4
83'
S. El Shaarawy
Yellow Card
85'
A. Dovbyk ↓ · P. Dybala ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.98 1.91 54% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
BTTS No 1.85 1.79 54% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 1.90 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 1.95 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.58 2.61 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.57 1.50 67% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 3.72 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 1.10 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.20 1.15 67% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.40 10.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.36 75% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 4.50 4.27 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.04 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 1.28 71% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 3.19 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.50 6.76 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.60 5.26 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.55u −33% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
MA
@maksymovmp
ROI -7.8%
1 week ago
Serie A Su 17 May · 10:00
AS Roma AS Roma
2 : 0 final
Lazio Lazio
Goals Over/Under Under 1.5 @ 3.50
Stake 37 coins
Payout 0 lost
P/L -37 -100% vs stake
Lost
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
ROM – LAZ @ 1.98
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →