P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Parma — AS Roma
Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 16:00
2:3
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
D W W W W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Daniele Chiffi, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.83
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 69% · book 1.54
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.75
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
0.71 – 2.58
Δ −1.87
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +9.5% better than the market.

AS Roma arrives at Stadio Ennio Tardini with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, reflected in their superior attacking and defensive metrics. Parma's recent home form shows resilience, but Roma's consistent momentum and sharper offensive threat suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Roma's compact block and quick transitions challenge Parma's defense.

  • Roma's offensive edge against Parma's defense favors away pressure.
  • Home side's recent form shows signs of stability but limited firepower.
  • Match likely to lean towards a controlled pace with under 2.5 goals probable.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 3-5-2 · ROM 3-4-2-1
Subs used · PAR
53' Pellegrino ↑ · Strefezza
74' Carboni ↑ · Valeri
74' Britschgi ↑ · Delprato
79' Estevez ↑ · Nicolussi Caviglia
79' Almqvist ↑ · Elphege
Subs used · ROM
53' Ghilardi ↑ · Hermoso
58' Pisilli ↑ · Soule
59' El Aynaoui ↑ · Cristante
75' Rensch ↑ · Celik
75' Venturino ↑ · Kone

📊 Statistics

PAR 23 ROM
34%
Possession (%)
66%
0.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.58
11
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
12
3
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
4
14
Fouls
8
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
4
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

20 · 2 – 3
22'
D. Malen
Assist · P. Dybala · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
G. Strefezza
Assist · H. Nicolussi Caviglia · 1–1
47'
G. Strefezza
Yellow Card
48'
M. Pellegrino ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 1
53'
53'
D. Ghilardi ↓ · M. Hermoso ↑
Substitution 1
58'
N. Pisilli ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 2
59'
N. El Aynaoui ↓ · B. Cristante ↑
Substitution 3
M. Troilo
Yellow Card
65'
F. Carboni ↓ · E. Valeri ↑
Substitution 2
74'
S. Britschgi ↓ · E. Delprato ↑
Substitution 3
74'
75'
D. Rensch ↓ · Z. Celik ↑
Substitution 4
75'
L. Venturino ↓ · M. Kone ↑
Substitution 5
S. Britschgi
Yellow Card
76'
N. Estevez ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑
Substitution 4
79'
P. Almqvist ↓ · N. Elphege ↑
Substitution 5
79'
M. Keita
Assist · N. Estevez · 2–1
87'
90+4'
D. Rensch
Assist · D. Ghilardi · 2–2
S. Britschgi
Yellow Card
90+9'
S. Britschgi
Red Card
90+9'
90+11'
D. Malen (P)
Penalty · 2–3
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.83 1.80 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.54 1.45 69% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
BTTS No 1.75 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.05 2.15 43% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.13 2.00 40% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.70 2.66 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 3.40 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.17 1.10 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.20 1.14 65% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 1.29 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9.52 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.30 4.33 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 1.05 89% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 1.30 67% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 3.50 21% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Home Win 6.00 7.25 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.40 5.38 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.76u −16% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
PAR – ROM @ 1.83
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →