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Home › Italy › Serie A › Torino — Sassuolo

Predictions by Market: Torino vs Sassuolo

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Torino
Torino
Home · last 5 D L W L D
Kick-off
Fri 08 May · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee S. Galipo

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOR
31%
Best 2.78
Draw
28%
Best 3.29
Away Win · SAS
41%
Best 2.84
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.75 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 28.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TOR – SAS @ 3.75
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →