Match Torino vs Sassuolo May 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.94 — +7.0% better than the market.

Torino hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where defensive solidity could be key. Torino’s home edge is noticeable, with a compact backline that challenges Sassuolo’s slightly sharper attack. Both sides show decent recent form, but Torino’s momentum at home and a slight pressing advantage may keep the game tight.

Torino’s defensive discipline vs Sassuolo’s moderate offensive threat
Home momentum favors Torino’s compact and organized play
Moderate pace expected, hinting at a controlled, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

TOR 2 – 1 SAS

48%

Possession (%)

52%

2.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.10

18

Total Shots

14

4

Shots on Target

7

10

Shots off Target

4

13

Shots Inside Box

11

7

Corner Kicks

5

13

Fouls

9

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

4

Yellow Cards

2

5

Goalkeeper Saves

2

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 1

38'

▮

L. Lipani

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

L. Marianucci

Yellow Card

▮

51'

⚽

K. Thorstvedt

Assist · L. Lipani · 0–1

M. Pedersen ↓ · V. Lazaro ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

D. Zapata ↓ · A. Njie ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

63'

⇄

I. Kone ↓ · L. Lipani ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

D. Berardi ↓ · C. Volpato ↑

Substitution 2

M. Prati

Yellow Card

▮

64'

G. Simeone

Assist · E. Ebosse · 1–1

⚽

66'

E. Ilkhan ↓ · M. Prati ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

67'

M. Pedersen

Assist · D. Zapata · 2–1

⚽

70'

75'

⇄

U. Garcia ↓ · J. Doig ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

M. Nzola ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

D. Bakola ↓ · N. Matic ↑

Substitution 5

86'

▮

K. Thorstvedt

Yellow Card

S. Kulenovic ↓ · G. Simeone ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

N. Nkounkou ↓ · R. Obrador ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

N. Nkounkou

Yellow Card

▮

89'

G. Gineitis

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Torino beat Sassuolo 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.82 to 2.10. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Thorstvedt (51'), G. Simeone (66'), M. Pedersen (70').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.65 units (Brier 0.204).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.94	1.91	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.07	2.14	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	1.91	45%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.17	1.97	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.67	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Home Win	2.57	2.70	31%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.95	1.93	28%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Away Win	3.12	2.78	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.57	1.47	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	1.42	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	3.50	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.33	76%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	10.00	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	1.04	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.30	3.23	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	1.28	70%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	3.19	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.65u	−21% ROI