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⚽ Football 57 ＋ Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Bologna
Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 L W D L W
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 18:45
2:3
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Piccinini
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 66% · book 1.61 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.98 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.83 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
0.75 – 1.32
Δ −0.57
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli holds a clear quality edge over Bologna, backed by superior form and a strong home defensive record. Their pressing intensity and compact block often stifle opponents, while Bologna’s attack struggles against top defenses. Napoli’s home momentum and tactical discipline suggest control of the game pace, likely limiting Bologna’s chances.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack struggles
  • Napoli’s recent consistent form
  • Control of tempo and pressing advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAP 3-4-2-1 · BOL 4-2-3-1
NAP · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BOL 32 Milinković-Savić 22 Lorenzo ⚽ 13 Rrahmani 4 Buongiorno 21 Politano 68 Lobotka 8 McTominay 3 Gutiérrez 23 Giovane 27 Santos ⚽ 19 Højlund 25 Pessina 17 Mário 5 Helland 26 Lucumí 33 Miranda 4 Pobega 8 Freuler 7 Orsolini ⚽ 19 Ferguson 10 Bernardeschi ⚽ 9 Castro
Subs used · NAP
76' Gilmour ↑ · Lobotka ↓
76' Elmas ↑ · Giovane ↓
85' Spinazzola ↑ · Politano ↓
87' Mazzocchi ↑ · Gutierrez ↓
Subs used · BOL
64' Zortea ↑ · Mario ↓
73' Rowe ↑ · Bernardeschi ↓
81' Moro ↑ · Pobega ↓
81' Sohm ↑ · Ferguson ↓
82' Heggem ↑ · Fauske Helland ↓

📊 Statistics

NAP 2 – 3 BOL
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
12
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 3
10'
⚽
F. Bernardeschi
Assist · J. Miranda · 0–1
34'
⚽
R. Orsolini (P)
Penalty · 0–2
38'
▮
Joao Mario
Yellow Card
G. Di Lorenzo
1–2
⚽
45+2'
Half-time · 1 – 2
47'
▮
F. Bernardeschi
Yellow Card
Alisson Santos
Assist · R. Hojlund · 2–2
⚽
48'
58'
▮
E. Fauske Helland
Yellow Card
64'
⇄
N. Zortea ↓ · Joao Mario ↑
Substitution 1
69'
▮
J. Lucumi
Yellow Card
73'
⇄
J. Rowe ↓ · F. Bernardeschi ↑
Substitution 2
B. Gilmour ↓ · S. Lobotka ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
76'
E. Elmas ↓ · Giovane ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
81'
⇄
N. Moro ↓ · T. Pobega ↑
Substitution 3
81'
⇄
S. Sohm ↓ · L. Ferguson ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
T. Heggem ↓ · E. Fauske Helland ↑
Substitution 5
M. Politano
Yellow Card
▮
84'
L. Spinazzola ↓ · M. Politano ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
P. Mazzocchi ↓ · M. Gutierrez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
90+1'
⚽
J. Rowe
2–3
Full-time · 2 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.61 1.54 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.98 1.91 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.83 1.81 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 1.95 47% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 1.91 45% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.48 2.40 34% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 3.60 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 1.12 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.20 1.18 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 1.32 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.32 4.05 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.02 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 1.28 70% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 3.30 24% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Away Win 6.20 6.13 12% Cashed +5.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.40 4.52 12% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +5.73u +34% ROI