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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Parma

Predictions by Market: Inter vs Parma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Kevin Bonacina, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · INT
78%
Best 1.25
Draw
17%
Best 7.01
Away Win · PAR
6%
Best 14.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.81
Fair odds
6.05
book 6.81 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 17% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (78%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16.5%
Odds 6.81
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.14
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – PAR @ 6.81
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →