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Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Inter — Parma

Match Inter vs Parma May 3, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Kevin Bonacina, Italy
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.66
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.50
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.80
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.09 – 0.27
Δ +1.82
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Inter hosts Parma with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and potent attack. Parma’s recent form shows resilience but their defensive frailty against Inter’s high offensive output suggests a challenging night ahead. The match hints at a controlled tempo with Inter likely dictating play and exploiting set-piece opportunities.

  • Inter’s home advantage and pressing intensity
  • Parma’s defensive vulnerabilities against strong attacks
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured buildup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

INT 20 PAR
59%
Possession (%)
41%
2.09
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.27
12
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Target
0
5
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
7
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 2 – 0
Marcus Thuram
Assist · Piotr Zieliński · 1–0
45+1'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Ange-Yoan Bonny ↓ · Francesco Pio Esposito ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Piotr Zieliński
Yellow Card
64'
Carlos Augusto ↓ · Alessandro Bastoni ↑
Substitution 2
67'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan ↓ · Piotr Zieliński ↑
Substitution 3
67'
Lautaro Martínez ↓ · Marcus Thuram ↑
Substitution 4
67'
67'
Christian Ordoñez ↓ · Mandela Keita ↑
Substitution 1
67'
Nesta Elphege ↓ · Mateo Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 2
75'
Oliver Sørensen ↓ · Adrián Bernabé ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Pontus Almqvist ↓ · Gabriel Strefezza ↑
Substitution 4
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Assist · Lautaro Martínez · 2–0
80'
85'
Franco Carboni ↓ · Emanuele Valeri ↑
Substitution 5
Davide Frattesi ↓ · Nicolò Barella ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.66 62% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.50 40% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.43 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.81 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Home Win 1.27 78% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.05 78% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.10 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 81% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.14 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 12.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.75 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.46u −32% ROI