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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Juventus

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Juventus

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
23%
Best 3.10
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · JUV
51%
Best 2.30
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.79
book 3.20 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (64%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 50.9%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 22.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 22.6%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ATA – JUV @ 3.20
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →