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Home › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Lecce

Predictions by Market: AS Roma vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ROM
69%
Best 1.44
Draw
22%
Best 4.10
Away Win · LEC
9%
Best 7.70
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 10.00
Fair odds
8.85
book 10.00 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 11% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (89%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.23
Show model details
Implied probability 23.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 9.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 9.1%
Odds 6.02
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ROM – LEC @ 10.00
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →