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Home › Italy › Serie A › Sassuolo — Bologna

Predictions by Market: Sassuolo vs Bologna

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Referee K. Bonacina

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAS
30%
Best 2.51
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · BOL
43%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.52
Fair odds
3.21
book 3.52 · +9.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +9.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAS – BOL @ 3.52
+9.7%
Edge
Forecast →