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Home › Italy › Serie A › Sassuolo — Bologna

Sassuolo vs Bologna 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Referee K. Bonacina
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.11 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.86 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.09 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.54 – 0.70
Δ −0.16
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.52 — +9.7% better than the market.

Sassuolo hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but home momentum is evident with recent strong form. Sassuolo’s attacking efforts face a tough Bologna defense, while Bologna’s offense will test Sassuolo’s compact backline. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations.

  • Home side’s recent wins boost confidence
  • Bologna’s defensive solidity challenges home attacks
  • Close quality gap suggests a tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.52 ✓ Cashed
AI 31% Implied 28% +2.52u
+252%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · BOL 4-2-3-1
SAS · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BOL 49 Murić 6 Walukiewicz 21 Idzes 80 Muharemović 23 Garcia 90 Koné 18 Matić 42 Thorstvedt 10 Berardi 99 Pinamonti 45 Laurienté 1 Skorupski 29 Silvestri 41 Vitík 26 Lucumí 33 Miranda 23 Sohm 6 Moro 7 Orsolini 21 Odgaard 28 Cambiaghi 24 Dallinga ⚽
Subs used · SAS
59' Volpato ↑ · Matic ↓
59' Nzola ↑ · Pinamonti ↓
75' Doig ↑ · Garcia ↓
75' Vranckx ↑ · Kone ↓
86' Bakola ↑ · Berardi ↓
Subs used · BOL
28' Zortea ↑ · De Silvestri ↓
63' Freuler ↑ · Moro ↓
64' Castro ↑ · Dallinga ↓
82' Bernardeschi ↑ · Odgaard ↓
83' Pobega ↑ · Sohm ↓

Statistics

SAS 0 – 1 BOL
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.54
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
9
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
8
7
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
11
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 0 – 1
6'
⚽
T. Dallinga
0–1
24'
▮
Thijs Dallinga
Yellow Card
28'
⇄
N. Zortea ↓ · L. De Silvestri ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 1
C. Volpato ↓ · N. Matic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
M. Nzola ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
63'
⇄
R. Freuler ↓ · N. Moro ↑
Substitution 2
64'
⇄
S. Castro ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑
Substitution 3
J. Doig ↓ · U. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
A. Vranckx ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
M'Bala Nzola
Yellow Card
▮
77'
82'
⇄
F. Bernardeschi ↓ · J. Odgaard ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
T. Pobega ↓ · S. Sohm ↑
Substitution 5
D. Bakola ↓ · D. Berardi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
90+6'
▮
Nadir Zortea
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Bologna won 1–0 away at Sassuolo. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: T. Dallinga (6').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.51 units (Brier 0.191).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.11 — 51% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.86 — 57% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.09 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.10 — 43% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.63 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.87 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.55 — 70% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 2.95 — 43% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.52 — 31% Cashed +2.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.46 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 — 77% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.40 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.65 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.51u −3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAS – BOL @ 3.52
+9.7%
Edge
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