Match Genoa vs AS Roma March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Serie A Preview: Genoa vs AS Roma

AS Roma arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Genoa's defensive solidity could help them absorb pressure, but Roma's sharper attack and home momentum gap favor the visitors. The match may see a moderate pace, with Roma likely to press and exploit set-piece chances.

Roma's offensive edge against Genoa's defense
Genoa's home challenge but limited scoring threat
Recent form favors Roma's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GEN 3-4-2-1 · ROM 3-4-2-1

GEN · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · ROM

21 Ekhator

Subs used · GEN

64'

Malinovskyi ↑ ·

Messias ↓

64'

Colombo ↑ ·

Ekhator ↓

75'

Vitinha ↑ ·

Ekuban ↓

79'

Martin ↑ ·

E. Ellertsson ↓

Subs used · ROM

46'

Cristante ↑ ·

Venturino ↓

56'

El Aynaoui ↑ ·

Pellegrini ↓

70'

Ghilardi ↑ ·

Rensch ↓

84'

Ziolkowski ↑ ·

Mancini ↓

84'

Vaz ↑ ·

Celik ↓

📊 Statistics

GEN 2 – 1 ROM

36%

Possession (%)

64%

2.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

61%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

12'

▮

Evan Ndicka

Yellow Card

Patrizio Masini

Yellow Card

▮

16'

40'

▮

Donyell Malen

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

B. Cristante ↓ · L. Venturino ↑

Substitution 1

Junior Messias (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

52'

55'

⚽

E. Ndicka

1–1

56'

⇄

N. El Aynaoui ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑

Substitution 2

R. Malinovskyi ↓ · Junior Messias ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

L. Colombo ↓ · J. Ekhator ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

70'

⇄

D. Ghilardi ↓ · D. Rensch ↑

Substitution 3

Vitinha ↓ · C. Ekuban ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

A. Martin ↓ · M. E. Ellertsson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

Vitinha

Assist · P. Masini · 2–1

⚽

80'

84'

⇄

J. Ziolkowski ↓ · G. Mancini ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

R. Vaz ↓ · Z. Celik ↑

Substitution 5

89'

▮

Bryan Cristante

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Genoa beat AS Roma 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 76% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.75 to 0.35. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Junior Messias (52'), E. Ndicka (55'), Vitinha (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.30 units (Brier 0.284).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.96	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.50	—	41%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.17	—	45%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.66	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.94	—	42%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.40	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	67%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.85	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.90	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	89%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	—	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.52	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.70	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.20	—	16%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Home Win	4.70	—	16%	Cashed	+3.70	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.30u	+8% ROI