P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🏆 Tournament
Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Inter

Match AC Milan vs Inter March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Inter
Inter
D W W D D Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 2.07 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.31 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.75 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.85 – 1.02
Δ −0.17
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Serie A Clash at San Siro

AC Milan hosts Inter in a high-stakes derby where the away side holds a clear quality edge, boasting stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Milan’s home momentum and slightly better recent form add intrigue, but Inter’s pressing edge and tactical solidity suggest a tightly contested match. Expect a balanced tempo with chances at both ends, as both teams have shown goal-scoring potential recently.

  • Milan’s home resilience vs Inter’s superior overall strength
  • Close recent form but Inter’s sharper attack vs Milan’s defense
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds, favoring a dynamic encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · INT 3-5-2
MIL · 3-5-2 3-5-2 · INT 16 Maignan 23 Tomori 5 De Winter 31 Pavlovic 56 Saelemaekers 19 Fofana 14 Modric 12 Rabiot 2 Estupinan ⚽ 10 Leao 11 Pulisic 1 Sommer 31 Bisseck 25 Akanji 95 Bastoni 11 Henrique 23 Barella 7 Zielinski 22 Mkhitaryan 32 Dimarco 14 Bonny 94 Esposito
Subs used · MIL
73' Ricci ↑ · Fofana ↓
73' Fullkrug ↑ · Leao ↓
84' Nkunku ↑ · Pulisic ↓
Subs used · INT
59' Dumfries ↑ · Henrique ↓
59' Sucic ↑ · Mkhitaryan ↓
68' Frattesi ↑ · Barella ↓
68' Augusto ↑ · Bastoni ↓
80' Diouf ↑ · Bisseck ↓

📊 Statistics

MIL 1 – 0 INT
37%
Possession (%)
63%
0.85
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.02
9
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
12
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0
P. Estupinan
Assist · Y. Fofana · 1–0
⚽
35'
Half-time · 1 – 0
59'
⇄
D. Dumfries ↓ · Luis Henrique ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
P. Sucic ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑
Substitution 2
65'
▮
Alessandro Bastoni
Yellow Card
68'
⇄
D. Frattesi ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
Carlos Augusto ↓ · A. Bastoni ↑
Substitution 4
69'
▮
Denzel Dumfries
Yellow Card
S. Ricci ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
73'
N. Fullkrug ↓ · R. Leao ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
Adrien Rabiot
Yellow Card
▮
80'
80'
⇄
A. Diouf ↓ · Y. Bisseck ↑
Substitution 5
C. Nkunku ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
84'
Luka Modrić
Yellow Card
▮
89'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

AC Milan beat Inter 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Estupinan (35').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.16 units (Brier 0.337).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.07 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.31 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.17 — 40% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.73 — 48% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.88 — 43% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.57 — 20% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.35 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.57 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 93% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.30 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 — 63% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Home Win 3.73 — 20% Cashed +2.73 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.66 — 20% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.16u +7% ROI