P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Napoli

Predictions Atalanta vs Napoli February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee D. Chiffi
Home Win · ATA
32%
Best 2.46
Draw
28%
Best 3.00
Away Win · NAP
40%
Best 3.23
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.17
Fair odds
1.91
book 2.17 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 52% · EV +13.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 31.9%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.3%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31.9%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
ATA – NAP @ 2.17
+13.5%
Edge
Forecast →