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Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Hellas Verona

Predictions by Market: Parma vs Hellas Verona

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
D D L D L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee L. Pairetto

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
39%
Best 2.32
Draw
30%
Best 2.85
Away Win · VER
30%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.65
Fair odds
3.30
book 3.65 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +10.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (39%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 15%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 14.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAR – VER @ 3.65
+10.7%
Edge
Forecast →