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Home Italy Serie A Parma — Hellas Verona

Predictions Parma vs Hellas Verona February 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
D D L D L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee L. Pairetto
Home Win · PAR
39%
Best 2.32
Draw
30%
Best 2.85
Away Win · VER
30%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.65
Fair odds
3.30
book 3.65 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +10.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (39%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
Under 1.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 15%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 14.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAR – VER @ 3.65
+10.7%
Edge
Forecast →