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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Parma — Hellas Verona

Match Parma vs Hellas Verona February 15, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
D D L D L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee L. Pairetto
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.60
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.79
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 42% · book 2.74
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.70 – 0.91
Δ +0.79
Possession
76% – 24%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.60 — +9.6% better than the market.

Parma hosts Verona in a tightly matched Serie A clash where defensive solidity stands out. Parma's compact backline and home momentum contrast with Verona's slightly sharper attack, but both sides have struggled for consistent form recently. The pace is likely to be moderate, favoring a cautious approach with few clear-cut chances.

  • Parma's defensive discipline may frustrate Verona's offense.
  • Verona's recent away struggles limit their threat.
  • Low-scoring game expected given both sides' conservative tactics.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.60 ✗ Lost
AI 69% Implied 63% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 3-5-2 · VER 3-5-2
Subs used · PAR
46' Ondrejka ↑ · Valenti
62' Nicolussi Caviglia ↑ · Keita
70' Oristanio ↑ · Sorensen
90+4' Ordonez ↑ · Strefezza
Subs used · VER
20' Akpa Akpro ↑ · Belghali
62' Sarr ↑ · Bowie
79' Serdar ↑ · Niasse
79' Slotsager ↑ · Harroui

📊 Statistics

PAR 21 VER
76%
Possession (%)
24%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.91
26
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Target
1
10
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
2
12
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
14
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

15 · 2 – 1
A. Bernabe
Assist · M. Keita · 1–0
4'
11'
Gift Orban
Red Card
20'
J. Akpa Akpro ↓ · R. Belghali ↑
Substitution 1
Alessandro Circati
Yellow Card
41'
43'
A. Harroui (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
J. Ondrejka ↓ · L. Valenti ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Lautaro Valenti
Yellow Card
45+2'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 2
62'
62'
A. Sarr ↓ · K. Bowie ↑
Substitution 2
G. Oristanio ↓ · O. Sorensen ↑
Substitution 3
70'
79'
S. Serdar ↓ · C. Niasse ↑
Substitution 3
79'
T. Slotsager ↓ · A. Harroui ↑
Substitution 4
86'
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Yellow Card
M. Pellegrino
Assist · H. Nicolussi Caviglia · 2–1
90'
C. Ordonez ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.60 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.79 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.74 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.62 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.47 39% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.57 32% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.08 39% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.44 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.66 39% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.65 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 70% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.00 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.52 58% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 86% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 85% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.05u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
PAR – VER @ 1.60
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →