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Home Italy Serie A Napoli — AS Roma

Predictions Napoli vs AS Roma February 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 19:45
2:2
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy
Home Win · NAP
50%
Best 2.51
Draw
29%
Best 2.80
Away Win · ROM
21%
Best 3.30
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.57
Fair odds
2.46
book 2.57 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +4.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.9%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.2%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 21.4%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.