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Home Italy Serie A Cagliari — Lecce

Predictions Cagliari vs Lecce February 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Mon 16 Feb · 19:45
0:2
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari Referee Ermanno Feliciani, Italy
Home Win · CAG
53%
Best 2.30
Draw
28%
Best 2.90
Away Win · LEC
19%
Best 3.68
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.53
book 1.70 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 66% · EV +11.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 52.9%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 18.7%
Odds 3.97
Show model details
Implied probability 25.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 28%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 17.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 87.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 18.7%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
CAG – LEC @ 1.70
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →