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Home Italy Serie A Napoli — Fiorentina

Predictions Napoli vs Fiorentina January 31, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Federico La Penna, Italy
Home Win · NAP
62%
Best 2.03
Draw
25%
Best 3.15
Away Win · FIO
13%
Best 4.29
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.82
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.82 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +13.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 12.9%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 12.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.