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Home Italy Serie A Napoli — Sassuolo

Predictions Napoli vs Sassuolo January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Francesco Fourneau, Italy
Home Win · NAP
71%
Best 1.47
Draw
21%
Best 4.20
Away Win · SAS
8%
Best 7.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.89
Fair odds
1.82
book 1.89 · +3.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 55% · EV +3.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 8.4%
Odds 8.80
Show model details
Implied probability 11.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8.4%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 29.5%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.